Warning signs in the Rainbow nation

COVID-19 May 10, 2021

I recently posted on the COVID-19 Actuaries Response Group's website about warning signs for the 3rd wave in South Africa.  

The warnings is based on these key points:

  1. Daily cases are increasing in South Africa.
  2. Test positivity is increasing.
  3. The reproduction number (R) as estimated from cases is above 1.
  4. Excess deaths is also increasing.

Read the original post here:

Warning Signs in the Rainbow Nation
Daily COVID-19 cases in South Africa has been rising for the last month. R is high, a warning sign for the Rainbow Nation.


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